Homicide Rate in Central African Republic: 1800 to Today (and Tomorrow)

The homicide rate in the Central African Republic is a ledger of human survival across three centuries. Each digit represents a life abruptly ended, a statistic distilled from the reality of those who lived there. While numbers quantify the scale of violence, they also measure the collective struggle to endure. When we track these intentional homicides per 100,000 people, we are observing the shifting baseline of safety and instability that has defined the nation's trajectory. These figures offer a quiet account of lives lived under the shadow of persistent, calculated risk.

The historical arc shows a long, slow decline. Starting at 15 in the 1800s estimate, the rate drifted downward through the decades to reach 13 in 1900. By the 1950s, the rate was 11, eventually settling at 9.5 in the 2020s. This current standing ranks the nation at #106 of 157 countries. Projections for the coming century suggest a continued descent, with the 2100s estimate reaching 6.3. This arc reflects a gradual narrowing of the gap between the past and a projected, more stable future.

If you were born in the 1800s, the statistical likelihood of violent death was significantly higher than for a child born today. In the 2020s, the experience of daily life is shaped by a rate of 9.5 per 100,000, a marked shift from the 14 per 100,000 faced by those in the 1850s. While these projections offer a path toward 6.3 by the 2100s, they remain tethered to the actual lives lived in this territory. Use our interactive tool to discover where you rank among everyone ever born.