Homicide Rate in Chad: 1800 to Today (and Tomorrow)

The story of a nation is often reduced to political shifts, but the true measure of a society is found in the safety of its citizens. Across three centuries, the homicide rate in Chad has charted a quiet, steady transformation. When we look at the data, we are not merely observing cold statistics; we are witnessing the changing circumstances of millions of lives. Each figure represents a departure from the violence of the past, marking a slow, incremental transition toward a different reality for those living within these borders.

The historical arc of this transition began in the 1800s estimate 15. As the decades progressed, the rate of intentional homicides shifted downward, passing 13 per 100,000 in 1900 to reach 11 in the 1950s. By the 1990s and 2000s, the rate stabilized at 10. In the 2020s, homicide rate in Chad stands at 9.5 per 100,000, ranking #107 of 157 countries. Projections for the coming century suggest a continued decline, moving toward 6.3 in the 2100s projection, reflecting the long-term momentum of this demographic trend.

For a child born in Chad during the 1800s estimate, the statistical probability of violent death was notably higher than for one born today. Every decade since has brought a marginal change to the experience of personal security. As you examine the trajectory from 15 in the 1800s down to the 2030s projection 9.03, you see the unfolding evolution of a nation’s stability. We invite you to compare your own era to these historical shifts to compute your own parallel lives.