Homicide Rate in Brazil: 1800 to Today (and Tomorrow)

A homicide rate is more than an entry in a database; it represents the sudden, permanent absence of a neighbor, a family member, or a friend. Each decimal point reflects a statistical reality of lives interrupted. In the 2020s, the homicide rate in Brazil stands at 22.5 per 100,000, placing the nation at #154 of 157 countries. While these figures summarize the violence measured across centuries, they ultimately quantify the fragility of human existence and the collective weight of millions of stories cut short.

The historical trajectory of these numbers reveals a long, fluctuating narrative. Beginning in the 1800s estimate of 26.09, the rate saw a slow, incremental decline through the 1890s estimate of 25.51 and into the 1900s estimate of 25.44. The mid-twentieth century experienced further shifts, reaching 19.67 in the 1980s before rising again in the 2000s to 26.61. Current projections suggest a downward trend, moving from the 2020s rate of 22.5 toward a 2100s projection of 14.93, mapping a path that spans three distinct centuries.

For those born in different eras, the statistical likelihood of survival varied significantly. A person living during the 1810s estimate of 26.03 faced a different environment than one born in the 1970s at 21 or the 2040s projection of 20.31. These data points define the parameters of safety and risk that shape the horizon for every generation. By observing these trends, you can contextualize the changing security of a nation over time. Use our interactive tools to compute your own parallel lives among those born across these centuries.