Homicide Rate in Senegal: 1800 to Today (and Tomorrow)

To track the homicide rate in Senegal is to trace the quiet, persistent arc of human safety across three centuries. Behind every decimal point and statistical estimate lies a life lived, a community altered, and a society evolving through time. These numbers serve as a cold yet necessary compass for understanding how violence has shifted within the borders of a nation. By distilling these occurrences into a rate per 100,000, we move beyond individual tragedy to observe the long-term trends that define the collective experience of a population.

The historical trajectory is one of steady decline. Starting from an 1800s estimate of 15, the rate moved slowly downward through the 1850s estimate of 14, eventually reaching 13 in 1900. Throughout the twentieth century, the data reflects a consistent tempering of conflict, moving from 11 in the 1950s to 10 in the 1990s. In the 2020s, homicide rate in Senegal stands at 9.5 per 100,000 — ranking #127 of 157 countries. This downward shift represents a centuries-long recalibration of security that persists into our modern era.

For someone living in Senegal, these projections suggest a future marked by increasing stability. While the 2020s sit at 9.5, the model anticipates a continued descent, with a 2030s projection of 9.03, moving toward a 2100s projection of 6.3. As you reflect on these shifting probabilities, consider how the environment of a single lifetime is shaped by these broader statistical currents. We invite you to explore the data further to compute your own parallel lives.